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Copa Diego Maradona | Fase Campeon
Dec 30, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Presidente José Fierro
SL

Tucuman
1 - 3
San Lorenzo

Heredia (50')
Acosta (34')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (6' pen.), Fernandez (75'), Ramirez (88')
Rodriguez (27'), Salazar (43'), Fernandez (86')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona Fase Campeon clash between Atletico Tucuman and San Lorenzo.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Lorenzo win with a probability of 37.98%. A win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 32.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Lorenzo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.66%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Atletico Tucuman win was 1-0 (11.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that San Lorenzo would win this match.

Result
Atletico TucumanDrawSan Lorenzo
32.83%29.19%37.98%
Both teams to score 44.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.37%62.63%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.8%82.2%
Atletico Tucuman Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.73%35.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.98%72.02%
San Lorenzo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.15%31.84%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.72%68.28%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Tucuman 32.83%
    San Lorenzo 37.98%
    Draw 29.17%
Atletico TucumanDrawSan Lorenzo
1-0 @ 11.7%
2-1 @ 6.98%
2-0 @ 6.1%
3-1 @ 2.43%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 32.83%
1-1 @ 13.39%
0-0 @ 11.22%
2-2 @ 3.99%
Other @ 0.57%
Total : 29.17%
0-1 @ 12.85%
1-2 @ 7.66%
0-2 @ 7.35%
1-3 @ 2.92%
0-3 @ 2.81%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 37.98%

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