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Major League Soccer | Gameweek 23
Aug 5, 2021 at 2am UK
Austin FC Stadium
HD

Austin
3 - 2
Houston

Pochettino (7', 45+1'), Dominguez (56')
Stroud (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Pasher (27'), Picault (86')
Dorsey (79')
Ceren (20')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austin FC win with a probability of 38.14%. A win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 36.42% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austin FC win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.18%). The likeliest Houston Dynamo win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austin FC would win this match.

Result
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
38.14%25.44%36.42%
Both teams to score 56.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.3%47.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.1%69.89%
Austin FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.41%24.58%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.92%59.07%
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.47%25.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.61%60.38%
Score Analysis
    Austin FC 38.14%
    Houston Dynamo 36.42%
    Draw 25.44%
Austin FCDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 8.81%
2-1 @ 8.43%
2-0 @ 6.18%
3-1 @ 3.95%
3-0 @ 2.89%
3-2 @ 2.69%
4-1 @ 1.38%
4-0 @ 1.01%
4-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 38.14%
1-1 @ 12.02%
0-0 @ 6.28%
2-2 @ 5.76%
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.44%
0-1 @ 8.57%
1-2 @ 8.21%
0-2 @ 5.85%
1-3 @ 3.74%
0-3 @ 2.66%
2-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.28%
0-4 @ 0.91%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 36.42%

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