Palestine gave Australia a tough time in the last meeting between the two with Arnold's side narrowly winning that game, and we expect this match will play out in a similar fashion.
The hosts are undefeated at home since a 2-1 loss to Ecuador in March 2023, and we expect them to continue their home form with a victory here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 43.81%. A win for Palestine had a probability of 28.86% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Palestine win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
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