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Tuesday, April 23
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World Cup Qualifying - Europe | Group Stage
Mar 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Ernst-Happel-Stadion
FI

Austria
3 - 1
Faroe Islands

Dragovic (30'), Baumgartner (37'), Kalajdzic (44')
Grillitsch (16')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Nattestad (19')
Hendriksson (45+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Faroe Islands had a probability of 9.27%.

The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.02%) and 3-0 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.25%), while for a Faroe Islands win it was 0-1 (5.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.

Result
AustriaDrawFaroe Islands
66.99%23.74%9.27%
Both teams to score 27.3%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
32.9%67.09%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
14.67%85.33%
Austria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.87%20.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.6%52.4%
Faroe Islands Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
34.18%65.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
6.65%93.35%
Score Analysis
    Austria 66.98%
    Faroe Islands 9.27%
    Draw 23.74%
AustriaDrawFaroe Islands
1-0 @ 21.23%
2-0 @ 17.02%
3-0 @ 9.1%
2-1 @ 7.12%
3-1 @ 3.8%
4-0 @ 3.65%
4-1 @ 1.52%
5-0 @ 1.17%
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 66.98%
0-0 @ 13.25%
1-1 @ 8.88%
2-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.74%
0-1 @ 5.54%
1-2 @ 1.86%
0-2 @ 1.16%
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 9.27%

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