SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 37.26%. A win for Truro City had a probability of 36.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.24%) and 2-0 (6.32%). The likeliest Truro City win was 0-1 (9.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Truro City |
37.26% ( 0.03) | 26.24% ( -0.16) | 36.49% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 53.41% ( 0.56) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.78% ( 0.71) | 51.22% ( -0.71) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.94% ( 0.62) | 73.06% ( -0.62) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.3% ( 0.35) | 26.69% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.05% ( 0.46) | 61.95% ( -0.46) |
| Truro City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.86% ( 0.42) | 27.14% ( -0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.46% ( 0.54) | 62.54% ( -0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Truro City |
| 1-0 @ 9.57% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.63% ( 0.05)3-0 @ 2.78% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.06)4-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.24% Total : 37.26% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.21)2-2 @ 5.37% ( 0.08)3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.04)Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.24% | 0-1 @ 9.45% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 6.16% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.04% Total : 36.49% |
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