Azerbaijan
1 - 2
Serbia

Mahmudov (59' pen.)
Xalilzada (88')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Mitrovic (16', 81')
Spajic (45+1'), Gudelj (76')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's World Cup Qualifying clash between Azerbaijan and Serbia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Serbia win with a probability of 43.48%. A draw had a probability of 31.6% and a win for Azerbaijan had a probability of 24.87%.

The most likely scoreline for a Serbia win was 0-1 with a probability of 17.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.48%) and 1-2 (7.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.73%), while for an Azerbaijan win it was 1-0 (11.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Serbia would win this match.

Result
Azerbaijan	Draw	Serbia
24.87%	31.65%	43.48%

Both teams to score 35.22%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

28.27%

71.73%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

11.68%

88.32%

Azerbaijan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.84%

47.15%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.39%

82.6%

Serbia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.64%

33.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.98%

Score Analysis

Azerbaijan 24.87%

Serbia 43.48%

Draw 31.65%

Azerbaijan	Draw	Serbia
1-0 @ 11.82% 2-1 @ 4.88% 2-0 @ 4.44% 3-1 @ 1.22% 3-0 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.39% Total : 24.87%	0-0 @ 15.73% 1-1 @ 12.98% 2-2 @ 2.68% Other @ 0.26% Total : 31.65%	0-1 @ 17.27% 0-2 @ 9.48% 1-2 @ 7.13% 0-3 @ 3.47% 1-3 @ 2.61% 2-3 @ 0.98% 0-4 @ 0.95% Other @ 1.59% Total : 43.48%