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Copa Sudamericana | Second Stage
Nov 6, 2020 at 12.30am UK
Estadio de Pituacu

Bahia
4 - 0
Melgar

Fessin (12', 34'), Gregore (20'), Gilberto (35')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Deneumostier (61'), Mifflin (89')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Second Stage clash between Bahia and Melgar.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 48.35%. A win for Melgar had a probability of 26.32% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.37%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Melgar win was 0-1 (7.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.

Result
BahiaDrawMelgar
48.35%25.33%26.32%
Both teams to score 52.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.97%51.03%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.11%72.89%
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.88%21.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.04%53.97%
Melgar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.96%34.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.28%70.72%
Score Analysis
    Bahia 48.34%
    Melgar 26.32%
    Draw 25.32%
BahiaDrawMelgar
1-0 @ 11.17%
2-1 @ 9.37%
2-0 @ 8.69%
3-1 @ 4.85%
3-0 @ 4.5%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.89%
4-0 @ 1.75%
4-2 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 48.34%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 7.19%
2-2 @ 5.05%
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.32%
0-1 @ 7.75%
1-2 @ 6.49%
0-2 @ 4.18%
1-3 @ 2.33%
2-3 @ 1.81%
0-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 26.32%


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