SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Connah's Quay Nomads win with a probability of 38.41%. A win for Bala Town had a probability of 36.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Connah's Quay Nomads win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.29%). The likeliest Bala Town win was 1-0 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
36.02% ( 2.22) | 25.57% ( -0.12) | 38.41% ( -2.1) |
| Both teams to score 55.7% ( 0.81) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.72% ( 0.88) | 48.28% ( -0.88) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.57% ( 0.8) | 70.42% ( -0.8) |
| Bala Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.97% ( 1.75) | 26.02% ( -1.75) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.94% ( 2.29) | 61.05% ( -2.29) |
| Connah's Quay Nomads Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.3% ( -0.7) | 24.7% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.76% ( -0.99) | 59.23% ( 0.99) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bala Town | Draw | Connah's Quay Nomads |
| 1-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.34)2-0 @ 5.82% ( 0.35)3-1 @ 3.65% ( 0.32)3-0 @ 2.61% ( 0.28)3-2 @ 2.56% ( 0.18)4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.16)Other @ 3.35% Total : 36.02% | 1-1 @ 12.1% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 6.43% ( -0.24)2-2 @ 5.7% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.19% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.57% | 0-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.52) 1-2 @ 8.46% ( -0.23)0-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.5)1-3 @ 3.94% ( -0.19)0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.3)2-3 @ 2.66% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 1.02% ( -0.13)2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.82% Total : 38.41% |
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