Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 67.31%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 8.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 1-0 with a probability of 21.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (17.27%) and 3-0 (9.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.57%), while for a Dynamo Kiev win it was 0-1 (5.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
