The first meeting between the two sides last weekend was a tight affair, and we are expecting this match to follow suit. A case can be made for both to win it, but we just have a feeling that Newport County will be able to edge a close contest in order to advance to the third round of the competition.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnet win with a probability of 46.94%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 29.84% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnet win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.69%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
0) 
-0.01) 
