SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rotherham United win with a probability of 38.4%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.82% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rotherham United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (5.93%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 2-1 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.56%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Rotherham United |
36.82% ( -0.11) | 24.77% ( -0.08) | 38.4% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 58.57% ( 0.27) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.38% ( 0.36) | 44.61% ( -0.36) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.02% ( 0.34) | 66.98% ( -0.34) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.11% ( 0.1) | 23.88% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.91% ( 0.15) | 58.08% ( -0.15) |
| Rotherham United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.94% ( 0.25) | 23.05% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.11% ( 0.37) | 56.88% ( -0.37) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Rotherham United |
| 2-1 @ 8.28% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.89% ( -0.1)2-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.05)3-1 @ 3.95% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.9% ( 0.03)3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.97% ( -0)Other @ 2.04% Total : 36.83% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.08% ( 0.04)0-0 @ 5.51% ( -0.09)3-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.77% | 1-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 8.08% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 5.93% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.15% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 2.9% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 38.4% |
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