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Swiss Super League | Gameweek 8
Sep 26, 2021 at 3.30pm UK
St. Jakob-Park
FZ

Basel
3 - 1
FC Zurich

Millar (34'), Ndoye (73'), Arthur (82')
Burger (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Marchesano (79' pen.)
Aliti (38'), Boranijasevic (73'), Guerrero (78'), Dzemaili (86'), Gnonto (90+4')
Coverage of the Swiss Super League clash between Basel and FC Zurich.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 62.4%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for FC Zurich had a probability of 18.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.56%), while for a FC Zurich win it was 1-2 (4.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.

Result
BaselDrawFC Zurich
62.4%19.34%18.26%
Both teams to score 61.34%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.39%33.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.57%55.43%
Basel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.62%10.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.11%33.89%
FC Zurich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.44%31.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.04%67.96%
Score Analysis
    Basel 62.4%
    FC Zurich 18.26%
    Draw 19.34%
BaselDrawFC Zurich
2-1 @ 9.69%
2-0 @ 8.41%
1-0 @ 7.42%
3-1 @ 7.32%
3-0 @ 6.35%
3-2 @ 4.22%
4-1 @ 4.15%
4-0 @ 3.6%
4-2 @ 2.39%
5-1 @ 1.88%
5-0 @ 1.63%
5-2 @ 1.08%
4-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 3.34%
Total : 62.4%
1-1 @ 8.56%
2-2 @ 5.59%
0-0 @ 3.28%
3-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 19.34%
1-2 @ 4.93%
0-1 @ 3.78%
0-2 @ 2.18%
2-3 @ 2.15%
1-3 @ 1.9%
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 18.26%

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