SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 39.48%. A win for Basel had a probability of 36.67% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.13%) and 0-2 (5.64%). The likeliest Basel win was 2-1 (8.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
36.67% ( 0.13) | 23.84% ( 0.13) | 39.48% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 62.02% ( -0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.86% ( -0.64) | 40.14% ( 0.64) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.49% ( -0.66) | 62.5% ( 0.66) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.06% ( -0.22) | 21.93% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.79% ( -0.34) | 55.21% ( 0.34) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.44% ( -0.4) | 20.56% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.92% ( -0.63) | 53.08% ( 0.63) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.84% ( 0.16)2-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.62% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.25% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 1% ( 0)Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.67% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.49% ( -0.05)0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.84% | 1-2 @ 8.56% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 3.42% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.98% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)0-4 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.92% Total : 39.48% |
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