SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a BATE Borisov win with a probability of 56.74%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Slutsk had a probability of 19.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a BATE Borisov win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Slutsk win it was 0-1 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that BATE Borisov would win this match.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
56.74% ( 0.05) | 23.39% ( 0.04) | 19.86% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 50.29% ( -0.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.48% ( -0.29) | 49.52% ( 0.28) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.45% ( -0.26) | 71.55% ( 0.25) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.75% ( -0.09) | 17.24% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.45% ( -0.15) | 47.55% ( 0.14) |
| Slutsk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.77% ( -0.27) | 39.23% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.06% ( -0.25) | 75.94% ( 0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | Slutsk |
| 1-0 @ 11.88% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 10.45% ( 0.07)2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.12% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 5.73% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.69% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 0.95% ( -0)Other @ 2.75% Total : 56.73% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.93% Total : 23.39% | 0-1 @ 6.33% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.39% Total : 19.86% |
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