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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 28, 2021 at 5pm UK
BayArena
FL

B. Leverkusen
1 - 2
Freiburg

Bailey (70')
Aranguiz (68'), Bailey (71')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Demirovic (50'), Holer (61')
Demirovic (21'), Hofler (73'), Sallai (77')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 62.02%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 10%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.64%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
62.02%20.57%17.4%
Both teams to score 55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.96%41.04%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.56%63.44%
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3%12.7%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.08%38.92%
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63%37%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.21%73.79%
Score Analysis
    Bayer Leverkusen 62.02%
    Freiburg 17.4%
    Draw 20.57%
Bayer LeverkusenDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10%
2-1 @ 9.95%
1-0 @ 9.7%
3-0 @ 6.88%
3-1 @ 6.84%
4-0 @ 3.55%
4-1 @ 3.53%
3-2 @ 3.4%
4-2 @ 1.76%
5-0 @ 1.47%
5-1 @ 1.46%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.02%
1-1 @ 9.64%
2-2 @ 4.95%
0-0 @ 4.7%
3-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 20.57%
1-2 @ 4.79%
0-1 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 2.32%
2-3 @ 1.64%
1-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 17.4%

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