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Champions League | Group Stage
Oct 21, 2020 at 8pm UK
Allianz Arena
AM

Bayern
4 - 0
Atletico

Coman (28', 72'), Goretzka (41'), Tolisso (66')
Alaba (5'), Muller (21')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Lodi (43'), Koke (44'), Herrera (45+1'), Torreira (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 61.63%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 13.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-0 with a probability of 18.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.56%) and 2-1 (8.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (12.11%), while for an Atletico Madrid win it was 0-1 (6.79%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
61.63%25.16%13.22%
Both teams to score 33.8%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.34%64.67%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.35%83.66%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.79%21.21%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.9%54.1%
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
42.9%57.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
10.9%89.1%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 61.63%
    Atletico Madrid 13.22%
    Draw 25.15%
Bayern MunichDrawAtletico Madrid
1-0 @ 18.78%
2-0 @ 14.56%
2-1 @ 8.16%
3-0 @ 7.53%
3-1 @ 4.22%
4-0 @ 2.92%
4-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.18%
5-0 @ 0.91%
Other @ 1.75%
Total : 61.63%
0-0 @ 12.11%
1-1 @ 10.52%
2-2 @ 2.29%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 25.15%
0-1 @ 6.79%
1-2 @ 2.95%
0-2 @ 1.9%
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 13.22%


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