SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal Women win with a probability of 38.63%. A win for Bayern Munich Women had a probability of 36.46% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal Women win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.27%) and 0-2 (6.03%). The likeliest Bayern Munich Women win was 2-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Bayern Munich Women would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
36.46% ( 0.22) | 24.91% ( -0.02) | 38.63% ( -0.21) |
| Both teams to score 58.06% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.74% ( 0.1) | 45.26% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.4% ( 0.1) | 67.6% ( -0.1) |
| Bayern Munich Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.62% ( 0.17) | 24.38% ( -0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.21% ( 0.24) | 58.78% ( -0.24) |
| Arsenal Women Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.77% ( -0.06) | 23.23% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.86% ( -0.09) | 57.14% ( 0.09) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich Women | Draw | Arsenal Women |
| 2-1 @ 8.24% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.64% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 3.88% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.83% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.65% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.93% Total : 36.46% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.01% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.9% | 1-2 @ 8.52% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 4.14% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.93% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.51% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 38.63% |
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