SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maccabi Tel Aviv win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Beitar Jerusalem had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maccabi Tel Aviv win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.87%) and 0-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for a Beitar Jerusalem win it was 2-1 (5.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maccabi Tel Aviv would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
20.67% ( -0.5) | 21.39% ( 0.11) | 57.94% ( 0.39) |
| Both teams to score 58.17% ( -1.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.32% ( -1.22) | 39.68% ( 1.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.97% ( -1.28) | 62.04% ( 1.28) |
| Beitar Jerusalem Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.23% ( -1.17) | 32.77% ( 1.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.67% ( -1.32) | 69.33% ( 1.33) |
| Maccabi Tel Aviv Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.53% ( -0.28) | 13.47% ( 0.28) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.52% ( -0.56) | 40.48% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Beitar Jerusalem | Draw | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
| 2-1 @ 5.51% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 4.93% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.13)3-1 @ 2.05% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.36% Total : 20.67% | 1-1 @ 9.87% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.52% ( -0.16)0-0 @ 4.42% ( 0.25)3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.1)Other @ 0.21% Total : 21.39% | 1-2 @ 9.9% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 8.87% ( 0.32)0-1 @ 8.85% ( 0.4)1-3 @ 6.61% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.93% ( 0.15)2-3 @ 3.69% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 3.31% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)2-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.09)1-5 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)0-5 @ 1.19% ( 0.01)Other @ 3.45% Total : 57.94% |
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