A rotten campaign could well continue for Benfica, as they face an Inter side in imperious form.
Despite their fine domestic start, Benfica have looked miles off it on the continent, especially in the reverse where the Nerazzurri were utterly dominant despite the narrow scoreline, and any sort of repeat will yield the same outcome here.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 42.6%. A win for Inter Milan had a probability of 31.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.88%) and 2-0 (7.4%). The likeliest Inter Milan win was 0-1 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
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