Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Rangers had a probability of 33.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (6.12%). The likeliest Rangers win was 1-2 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.56%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
