SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fenerbahce win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Besiktas had a probability of 34.04% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fenerbahce win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (6.36%). The likeliest Besiktas win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fenerbahce would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Besiktas | Draw | Fenerbahce |
34.04% ( 0.08) | 24.43% ( -0.04) | 41.53% ( -0.04) |
| Both teams to score 59.36% ( 0.17) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.61% ( 0.2) | 43.39% ( -0.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.22% ( 0.2) | 65.78% ( -0.2) |
| Besiktas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.14% ( 0.15) | 24.87% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.53% ( 0.2) | 59.47% ( -0.2) |
| Fenerbahce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.01% ( 0.07) | 20.99% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.24% ( 0.1) | 53.76% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Besiktas | Draw | Fenerbahce |
| 2-1 @ 7.89% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.26% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.86% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.7% Total : 34.04% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 5.22% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.22% Total : 24.43% | 1-2 @ 8.85% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 6.36% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 4.61% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 3.31% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.8% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.29% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.72% Total : 41.53% |
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