CAF Champions League | First Preliminary Round | 1st Leg
Aug 18, 2024 at 2pm UK
Bingu National Stadium
Babatunde Adebare (78'), Phiri (83')
Banega Aaron (38'),
Chirwa (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the CAF Champions League First Preliminary Round clash between Big Bullets and Red Arrows.
Form, Standings, Stats
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Big Bullets win with a probability of 47.84%. A draw had a probability of 30% and a win for Red Arrows had a probability of 22.13%.
The most likely scoreline for a Big Bullets win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (7.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (14.24%), while for a Red Arrows win it was 0-1 (10.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Big Bullets would win this match.
| Result |
| Big Bullets | Draw | Red Arrows |
47.84% ( -0.05) | 30.02% ( 0) | 22.13% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 36.46% ( 0.03) |
| 30.94% ( 0.02) | 69.06% ( -0.02) |
| 13.37% ( 0.01) | 86.63% ( -0.01) |
| 70.48% ( -0.02) | 29.52% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 34.46% ( -0.02) | 65.54% ( 0.02) |
| 51.74% ( 0.06) | 48.26% ( -0.06) |
