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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
NF

Birmingham
1 - 1
Nott'm Forest

Roberts (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Grabban (90+7' pen.)

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 37.66%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.89% and a draw had a probability of 29.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (11.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawNottingham Forest
32.89%29.44%37.66%
Both teams to score 43.45%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.54%63.45%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.2%82.79%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.33%35.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.56%72.44%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.53%32.47%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.99%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 32.88%
    Nottingham Forest 37.66%
    Draw 29.43%
Birmingham CityDrawNottingham Forest
1-0 @ 11.93%
2-1 @ 6.92%
2-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 2.38%
3-0 @ 2.12%
3-2 @ 1.34%
Other @ 2.04%
Total : 32.88%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 11.57%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 29.43%
0-1 @ 13.02%
1-2 @ 7.55%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 2.83%
0-3 @ 2.75%
2-3 @ 1.46%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 37.66%

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