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BL
Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 10, 2021 at 3pm UK
St. Andrew's Stadium
SL

Birmingham
2 - 0
Stoke

Jutkiewicz (42', 53')
Gardner (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Fletcher (45')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.18%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 30.7% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.88%) and 1-2 (7.49%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 1-0 (12.05%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
30.7%30.12%39.18%
Both teams to score 41.22%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
34.1%65.9%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
15.48%84.52%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.34%38.66%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.6%75.4%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.2%32.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.64%69.36%
Score Analysis
    Birmingham City 30.7%
    Stoke City 39.18%
    Draw 30.11%
Birmingham CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 12.05%
2-1 @ 6.38%
2-0 @ 5.73%
3-1 @ 2.02%
3-0 @ 1.81%
3-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 30.7%
1-1 @ 13.43%
0-0 @ 12.67%
2-2 @ 3.56%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 30.11%
0-1 @ 14.13%
0-2 @ 7.88%
1-2 @ 7.49%
0-3 @ 2.93%
1-3 @ 2.78%
2-3 @ 1.32%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 39.18%

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