Birmingham have dominated proceedings in their League One matches so far this season, although that level of control has not always led to an abundance of clear-cut chances.
We expect that theme to continue against a stubborn Wigan side on Saturday afternoon, when Blues should eventually find a way to break down the Latics and claim maximum points.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Birmingham City win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 35.29% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Birmingham City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.19%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest Wigan Athletic win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Birmingham City would win this match.
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