SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blyth Spartans win with a probability of 39.95%. A win for Darlington had a probability of 34.6% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Blyth Spartans win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.65%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Darlington win was 0-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Darlington |
39.95% ( 0.18) | 25.46% ( 0.14) | 34.6% ( -0.31) |
| Both teams to score 55.87% ( -0.52) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.03% ( -0.64) | 47.97% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.85% ( -0.59) | 70.14% ( 0.6) |
| Blyth Spartans Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.24% ( -0.2) | 23.76% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.09% ( -0.28) | 57.91% ( 0.29) |
| Darlington Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.29% ( -0.49) | 26.71% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.02% ( -0.65) | 61.97% ( 0.65) |
| Score Analysis |
| Blyth Spartans | Draw | Darlington |
| 1-0 @ 9.12% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 6.56% ( 0.1)3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.14% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 2.74% ( -0.05)4-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.13% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.02)Other @ 2% Total : 39.95% | 1-1 @ 12.04% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 6.35% ( 0.17)2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.07)3-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.46% | 0-1 @ 8.38% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.53% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 2.51% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 2.43% ( -0.04)1-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.15% Total : 34.6% |
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