Boca Juniors
3 - 1
Tucuman

Medina (5'), Villa (11'), Soldano (90+5')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Heredia (22')
Mussis (39'), Erbes (54'), Gabriel Osores (82'), Bustos (90+1'), Ortiz (90+4')
Erbes (60')

Data Analysis

Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Atletico Tucuman.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 58.62%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Atletico Tucuman had a probability of 17.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.54%) and 2-1 (9.6%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for an Atletico Tucuman win it was 0-1 (6.45%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.

Result
Boca Juniors	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
58.62%	23.56%	17.82%

Both teams to score 46.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.07%

52.92%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.47%

74.53%

Boca Juniors Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.19%

17.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.47%

48.53%

Atletico Tucuman Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.45%

43.55%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.25%

79.75%

Score Analysis

Boca Juniors 58.6%

Atletico Tucuman 17.82%

Draw 23.56%

Boca Juniors	Draw	Atletico Tucuman
1-0 @ 13.37% 2-0 @ 11.54% 2-1 @ 9.6% 3-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 5.52% 4-0 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.3% 4-2 @ 0.99% 5-0 @ 0.99% Other @ 2.41% Total : 58.6%	1-1 @ 11.12% 0-0 @ 7.75% 2-2 @ 3.99% Other @ 0.7% Total : 23.56%	0-1 @ 6.45% 1-2 @ 4.62% 0-2 @ 2.68% 1-3 @ 1.28% 2-3 @ 1.11% Other @ 1.68% Total : 17.82%