Having won just two of their last eight away games, Cruzeiro will need to be at their best at the Estadio Alberto Jose Armando as they look to take a first-leg advantage back to Brazil. However, Boca Juniors have been near impenetrable on home turf and we are backing them to come away with the desired results
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 50.31%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cruzeiro had a probability of 23.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.1%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.37%), while for a Cruzeiro win it was 0-1 (8.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Boca Juniors in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Boca Juniors.
0.14) 
-0.14) 
