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Copa Diego Maradona | First Phase
Feb 14, 2021 at 10.20pm UK
Estadio Alberto José Armando

Boca Juniors
2 - 2
Gimnasia

Izquierdoz (42'), Cardona (85')
Varela (66'), Medina (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Guiffrey (45+1'), Aleman (63')
Coverage of the Copa Diego Maradona First Phase clash between Boca Juniors and Gimnasia.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gimnasia had a probability of 19.39%.

The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.93%), while for a Gimnasia win it was 0-1 (7.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.

Result
Boca JuniorsDrawGimnasia
54.54%26.07%19.39%
Both teams to score 42.25%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.16%59.84%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.88%80.12%
Boca Juniors Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9%22.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.53%55.47%
Gimnasia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.24%45.76%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.47%81.54%
Score Analysis
    Boca Juniors 54.53%
    Gimnasia 19.39%
    Draw 26.06%
Boca JuniorsDrawGimnasia
1-0 @ 15.26%
2-0 @ 11.52%
2-1 @ 9.01%
3-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 4.53%
4-0 @ 2.19%
3-2 @ 1.77%
4-1 @ 1.71%
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 54.53%
1-1 @ 11.93%
0-0 @ 10.11%
2-2 @ 3.52%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 26.06%
0-1 @ 7.91%
1-2 @ 4.67%
0-2 @ 3.09%
1-3 @ 1.22%
2-3 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.59%
Total : 19.39%

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