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World Cup Qualifying - South America | Group Stage
Oct 14, 2021 at 9pm UK
 
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Bolivia
4 - 0
Paraguay

Ramallo (21'), Villarroel (53'), Abrego (84'), Fernandez (90+4')
Ramallo (45+2'), Carlos Arce (78')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Cardozo (43'), Gomez (82')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivia win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Paraguay had a probability of 36.18% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Paraguay win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolivia would win this match.

Result
BoliviaDrawParaguay
38.9%24.92%36.18%
Both teams to score 58%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.67%45.33%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.33%67.67%
Bolivia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.88%23.12%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.02%56.98%
Paraguay Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.44%24.56%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.95%59.05%
Score Analysis
    Bolivia 38.9%
    Paraguay 36.18%
    Draw 24.91%
BoliviaDrawParaguay
2-1 @ 8.55%
1-0 @ 8.32%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 2.97%
3-2 @ 2.93%
4-1 @ 1.53%
4-0 @ 1.09%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 38.9%
1-1 @ 11.67%
2-2 @ 6%
0-0 @ 5.68%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.91%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.6%
1-3 @ 3.84%
2-3 @ 2.81%
0-3 @ 2.62%
1-4 @ 1.35%
2-4 @ 0.99%
0-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 36.18%

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