MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 19:11:35
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Thursday, March 28
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
AB

Dortmund
3 - 0
Arminia Bielefeld

Dahoud (48'), Sancho (58' pen.), Jesus (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Pieper (57'), Kunze (72'), Prietl (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 71.13%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 11.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 1-0 (9.16%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-2 (3.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawArminia Bielefeld
71.13%17.04%11.83%
Both teams to score 52.78%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.3%36.7%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.13%58.87%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.86%9.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69%31%
Arminia Bielefeld Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.08%41.92%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.64%78.36%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 71.13%
    Arminia Bielefeld 11.83%
    Draw 17.04%
Borussia DortmundDrawArminia Bielefeld
2-0 @ 10.96%
2-1 @ 9.54%
1-0 @ 9.16%
3-0 @ 8.75%
3-1 @ 7.61%
4-0 @ 5.23%
4-1 @ 4.55%
3-2 @ 3.31%
5-0 @ 2.51%
5-1 @ 2.18%
4-2 @ 1.98%
6-0 @ 1%
5-2 @ 0.95%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 71.13%
1-1 @ 7.97%
2-2 @ 4.15%
0-0 @ 3.83%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 17.04%
1-2 @ 3.46%
0-1 @ 3.33%
0-2 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.2%
1-3 @ 1%
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 11.83%

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