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Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 16, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
Signal Iduna Park
ML

Dortmund
1 - 1
Mainz 05

Meunier (73')
Can (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oztunali (57')
Mwene (40'), Hack (47')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 67.87%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 14.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.09%), while for a Mainz 05 win it was 1-2 (4.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
67.87%17.82%14.31%
Both teams to score 57.61%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.83%34.17%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.94%56.06%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.78%9.22%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.79%31.21%
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.46%36.54%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.68%73.32%
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 67.87%
    Mainz 05 14.31%
    Draw 17.82%
Borussia DortmundDrawMainz 05
2-1 @ 9.64%
2-0 @ 9.57%
1-0 @ 8.03%
3-1 @ 7.66%
3-0 @ 7.61%
4-1 @ 4.56%
4-0 @ 4.53%
3-2 @ 3.86%
4-2 @ 2.3%
5-1 @ 2.18%
5-0 @ 2.16%
5-2 @ 1.1%
Other @ 4.68%
Total : 67.87%
1-1 @ 8.09%
2-2 @ 4.85%
0-0 @ 3.37%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 17.82%
1-2 @ 4.07%
0-1 @ 3.39%
0-2 @ 1.71%
2-3 @ 1.63%
1-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 2.14%
Total : 14.31%

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