SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Forest Green Rovers win with a probability of 46.45%. A win for Boston United had a probability of 27.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Forest Green Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.27%). The likeliest Boston United win was 1-0 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Forest Green Rovers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Boston United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
27.95% ( -0.1) | 25.61% ( 0.04) | 46.45% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( -0.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.88% ( -0.22) | 51.12% ( 0.22) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.03% ( -0.19) | 72.97% ( 0.2) |
| Boston United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.2% ( -0.19) | 32.8% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.63% ( -0.22) | 69.37% ( 0.22) |
| Forest Green Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78% ( -0.06) | 22% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.69% ( -0.09) | 55.31% ( 0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Boston United | Draw | Forest Green Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 6.79% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 4.48% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.67% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.53% Total : 27.95% | 1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 7.22% ( 0.06)2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.61% | 0-1 @ 10.92% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.22% ( -0)0-2 @ 8.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 4.18% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.02)1-4 @ 1.76% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.58% ( 0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.28% Total : 46.44% |
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