SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bradford City win with a probability of 54.43%. A win for Aldershot Town had a probability of 22.8% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bradford City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.83%). The likeliest Aldershot Town win was 1-2 (5.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bradford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bradford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
54.43% ( -0.05) | 22.77% ( -0.01) | 22.8% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.52% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.69% ( 0.09) | 43.3% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.3% ( 0.09) | 65.7% ( -0.1) |
| Bradford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.16% ( 0.01) | 15.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.98% ( 0.03) | 45.02% ( -0.03) |
| Aldershot Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.16% ( 0.1) | 32.84% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.59% ( 0.11) | 69.41% ( -0.12) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bradford City | Draw | Aldershot Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.58% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.04% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.78% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.5% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)5-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 2.57% Total : 54.43% | 1-1 @ 10.67% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.01)0-0 @ 5.2% ( -0.02)3-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 22.77% | 1-2 @ 5.94% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.79% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.22% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.21% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.41% Total : 22.8% |
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