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Copa Sudamericana | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 22, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid
ID

Bragantino
1 - 1
Independiente

Cuello (52')
Praxedes (11'), Fraga (43'), Schwengber (67')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Guerrero (4')
Ramirez (61'), Segovia (71'), Gaibor (83')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 56.12%. A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Independiente del Valle had a probability of 18.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.87%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Independiente del Valle win it was 0-1 (7.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood.

Result
BragantinoDrawIndependiente del Valle
56.12%25.5%18.37%
Both teams to score 42.16%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.89%59.1%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.44%79.55%
Bragantino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85%21.14%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46%53.99%
Independiente del Valle Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.46%46.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.86%82.13%
Score Analysis
    Bragantino 56.11%
    Independiente del Valle 18.37%
    Draw 25.5%
BragantinoDrawIndependiente del Valle
1-0 @ 15.28%
2-0 @ 11.87%
2-1 @ 9.09%
3-0 @ 6.15%
3-1 @ 4.71%
4-0 @ 2.39%
4-1 @ 1.83%
3-2 @ 1.8%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 56.11%
1-1 @ 11.69%
0-0 @ 9.84%
2-2 @ 3.48%
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 25.5%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 4.47%
0-2 @ 2.88%
1-3 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 18.37%

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