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BL
Championship
Jul 29, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
Griffin Park
SL

Brentford
3 - 1
Swansea

Watkins (11'), Marcondes (15'), Mbeumo (46')
Dalsgaard (9'), Benrahma (83'), T. (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Brewster (78')
Cabango (54'), Dhanda (75'), Ayew (82'), Roberts (90+3')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.46%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 22.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.8%) and 2-0 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.1%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.

Result
BrentfordDrawSwansea City
54.46%23.41%22.13%
Both teams to score 53.5%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.11%46.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.86%69.14%
Brentford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.89%17.11%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.68%47.31%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55%35.45%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.78%72.22%
Score Analysis
    Brentford 54.45%
    Swansea City 22.13%
    Draw 23.41%
BrentfordDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.7%
2-1 @ 9.8%
2-0 @ 9.45%
3-1 @ 5.77%
3-0 @ 5.56%
3-2 @ 2.99%
4-1 @ 2.55%
4-0 @ 2.46%
4-2 @ 1.32%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 54.45%
1-1 @ 11.1%
0-0 @ 6.07%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 1.03%
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 23.41%
0-1 @ 6.29%
1-2 @ 5.76%
0-2 @ 3.26%
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.76%
0-3 @ 1.13%
Other @ 1.94%
Total : 22.13%


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