Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 68.78%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 11.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.47%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.13%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
