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Serie B | Gameweek 13
Dec 19, 2020 at 1pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti

Brescia
3 - 1
Reggiana

Torregrossa (8'), Jagiello (45+2'), Ragusa (81')
Dessena (33'), Papetti (37'), Sabelli (40'), Jagiello (48'), Mateju (80')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Radrezza (32')
Zamparo (19'), Costa (30'), Muratore (71')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Reggiana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.76%. A win for Reggiana had a probability of 30.92% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.06%) and 2-0 (7.37%). The likeliest Reggiana win was 0-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawReggiana
43.76%25.31%30.92%
Both teams to score 55.12%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.6%48.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.46%70.53%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.92%22.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.57%55.43%
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74%29.25%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79%65.21%
Score Analysis
    Brescia 43.76%
    Reggiana 30.92%
    Draw 25.31%
BresciaDrawReggiana
1-0 @ 9.76%
2-1 @ 9.06%
2-0 @ 7.37%
3-1 @ 4.56%
3-0 @ 3.71%
3-2 @ 2.8%
4-1 @ 1.72%
4-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 43.76%
1-1 @ 11.99%
0-0 @ 6.46%
2-2 @ 5.57%
3-3 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.31%
0-1 @ 7.94%
1-2 @ 7.37%
0-2 @ 4.88%
1-3 @ 3.02%
2-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 2%
1-4 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 30.92%

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