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Australian A-League | Gameweek 11
Mar 6, 2021 at 6.05am UK
Dolphin Stadium
SF

Brisbane Roar
1 - 1
Sydney FC

FT(HT: 1-0)
Rogerio da Silva (71')
Barbarouses (9'), Ninkovic (25'), Grant (36')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 40.14%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
35.39%24.48%40.14%
Both teams to score 59.48%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.64%43.36%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.25%65.75%
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.91%24.09%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.62%58.38%
Sydney FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.36%21.64%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.24%54.76%
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 35.39%
    Sydney FC 40.14%
    Draw 24.47%
Brisbane RoarDrawSydney FC
2-1 @ 8.08%
1-0 @ 7.42%
2-0 @ 5.28%
3-1 @ 3.84%
3-2 @ 2.94%
3-0 @ 2.51%
4-1 @ 1.37%
4-2 @ 1.04%
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 35.39%
1-1 @ 11.35%
2-2 @ 6.19%
0-0 @ 5.21%
3-3 @ 1.5%
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.47%
1-2 @ 8.69%
0-1 @ 7.98%
0-2 @ 6.11%
1-3 @ 4.44%
2-3 @ 3.16%
0-3 @ 3.12%
1-4 @ 1.7%
2-4 @ 1.21%
0-4 @ 1.19%
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 40.14%

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