Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 48.52%. A win for Bristol Rovers had a probability of 26.43% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.42%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Bristol Rovers win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cheltenham Town would win this match.
