Bulgaria
1 - 3
Hungary

Yomov (89')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Orban (17'), Kalmar (47'), Nikolic (75')
Lang (55'), Gazdag (88')

Preview

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Euro qualifying Path A playoff semi-final between Bulgaria and Hungary, including team news and predicted lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hungary win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Bulgaria had a probability of 34.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hungary win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.83%). The likeliest Bulgaria win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hungary would win this match.

Result
Bulgaria	Draw	Hungary
34.21%	26.36%	39.43%

Both teams to score 52.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.1%

51.9%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.35%

73.65%

Bulgaria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.84%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29%

64.7%

Hungary Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.19%

25.8%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.24%

60.76%

Score Analysis

Bulgaria 34.21%

Hungary 39.43%

Draw 26.35%

Bulgaria	Draw	Hungary
1-0 @ 9.25% 2-1 @ 7.79% 2-0 @ 5.75% 3-1 @ 3.23% 3-0 @ 2.38% 3-2 @ 2.19% 4-1 @ 1% Other @ 2.61% Total : 34.21%	1-1 @ 12.53% 0-0 @ 7.44% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.35%	0-1 @ 10.08% 1-2 @ 8.49% 0-2 @ 6.83% 1-3 @ 3.83% 0-3 @ 3.08% 2-3 @ 2.38% 1-4 @ 1.3% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.38% Total : 39.43%