Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Gijon win with a probability of 36.71%. A win for Burgos had a probability of 34.54% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Gijon win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.65%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Burgos win was 1-0 (11.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sporting Gijon would win this match.

Result
Burgos	Draw	Sporting Gijon
34.54% ( -0.25)	28.74% ( -0.52)	36.71% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 45.58% (

1.43)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.05% (

1.74)

60.94% (

-1.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.04% (

1.29)

80.95% (

-1.29)

Burgos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.81% (

0.75)

33.18% (

-0.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.2% (

0.81)

69.79% (

-0.82)

Sporting Gijon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.22% (

1.39)

31.77% (

-1.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.79% (

1.57)

68.2% (

-1.57)

Score Analysis

Burgos 34.54%

Sporting Gijon 36.71%

Draw 28.73%

Burgos	Draw	Sporting Gijon
1-0 @ 11.63% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 7.36% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.16) 3-1 @ 2.7% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.53% Total : 34.54%	1-1 @ 13.33% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.71) 2-2 @ 4.22% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.73%	0-1 @ 12.08% ( -0.34) 1-2 @ 7.65% ( 0.24) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.92% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.65% ( 0.13) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.14) Other @ 2.87% Total : 36.71%