With a third of the season gone, Burton Albion find themselves scrambling for points at the foot of the table in what has been an underwhelming campaign. On paper, Charlton are favourites to come away with the desired result, but we predict that the Brewers will hold out for a share of the spoils in front of their home supporters.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Charlton Athletic win with a probability of 39.17%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 34.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Charlton Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.49%) and 0-2 (6.69%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.42%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Charlton Athletic in this match.
0.05) 
-0.06) 
