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League One | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
P

Burton Albion
2 - 1
Portsmouth

O'Connor (32'), Jebbison (60')
Smith (36'), Lakin (49'), Jebbison (63')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hackett-Fairchild (64')
Raggett (83'), Brown (85'), Hackett-Fairchild (86'), Harness (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 41.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 32.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (7.33%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (9.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPortsmouth
32.25%26.58%41.16%
Both teams to score 51.55%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.74%53.25%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.19%74.81%
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2%30.79%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93%67.07%
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.5%25.5%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65%60.35%
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 32.25%
    Portsmouth 41.16%
    Draw 26.57%
Burton AlbionDrawPortsmouth
1-0 @ 9.25%
2-1 @ 7.44%
2-0 @ 5.45%
3-1 @ 2.92%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 2%
Other @ 3.06%
Total : 32.25%
1-1 @ 12.63%
0-0 @ 7.85%
2-2 @ 5.09%
3-3 @ 0.91%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.57%
0-1 @ 10.73%
1-2 @ 8.64%
0-2 @ 7.33%
1-3 @ 3.93%
0-3 @ 3.34%
2-3 @ 2.32%
1-4 @ 1.34%
0-4 @ 1.14%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 41.16%

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