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FA Cup | Second Round
Dec 1, 2024 at 2pm UK
Pirelli Stadium

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Tamworth

Tamworth win 4-3 on penalties
Bennett (92')
Godwin-Malife (41'), Armer (56'), Watt (64'), Larsson (90+8'), Whitfield (116')
FT
(aet)
Maher (94')
Cullinane-Liburd (25'), Williams (52'), Fletcher (110'), Crompton (118'), Enoru (120+2')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League

We say: Burton Albion 2-1 Tamworth

Burton may be struggling in League One this season, but they will still be favourites to progress from this tie, and we think they will live up to that tag by claiming a narrow win over a Tamworth side that have lost each of their last three away matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 49.93%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Tamworth had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Tamworth win it was 0-1 (7.7%).

Result
Burton AlbionDrawTamworth
49.93% (-0.738 -0.74) 25.34% (0.403 0.4) 24.73% (0.336 0.34)
Both teams to score 50.56% (-0.879 -0.88)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.75% (-1.325 -1.33)52.25% (1.324 1.32)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.04% (-1.151 -1.15)73.95% (1.15 1.15)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.05% (-0.84 -0.84)20.94% (0.839 0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.32% (-1.328 -1.33)53.68% (1.328 1.33)
Tamworth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.95% (-0.428 -0.43)36.05% (0.428 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.17% (-0.44 -0.44)72.83% (0.44 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 49.93%
    Tamworth 24.73%
    Draw 25.33%
Burton AlbionDrawTamworth
1-0 @ 11.8% (0.32 0.32)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-0 @ 9.23% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.91% (-0.181 -0.18)
3-0 @ 4.81% (-0.12 -0.12)
3-2 @ 2.5% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-1 @ 1.92% (-0.123 -0.12)
4-0 @ 1.88% (-0.098 -0.1)
4-2 @ 0.98% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 49.93%
1-1 @ 12.04% (0.19 0.19)
0-0 @ 7.55% (0.389 0.39)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.311 0.31)
1-2 @ 6.14% (0.021999999999999 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.93% (0.114 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.09% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-3 @ 1.34% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 24.73%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-1 Charlton
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-3 Stockport
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Northampton 2-5 Burton Albion
Tuesday, November 12 at 7pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-0 Shrewsbury
Saturday, November 9 at 12.30pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 0-0 Crawley
Tuesday, November 5 at 7.45pm in League One
Last Game: Burton Albion 1-0 Scarborough Ath
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Tamworth 2-1 Dag & Red
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Oldham 4-0 Tamworth
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-1 Ebbsfleet
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 1-0 Huddersfield
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Southend 2-0 Tamworth
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in National League
Last Game: Tamworth 0-0 Yeovil
Tuesday, October 22 at 7.45pm in National League


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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