Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambridge United win with a probability of 37.38%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cambridge United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.56%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 0-1 (10%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
