Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.04%. A win for Coventry City had a probability of 28.82% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.43%) and 2-1 (8.4%). The likeliest Coventry City win was 0-1 (10.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Coventry City
43.04%	28.14%	28.82%

Both teams to score 45.59%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.85%

60.14%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.65%

80.35%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.3%

27.7%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.74%

63.26%

Coventry City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.06%

36.94%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.27%

73.73%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.03%

Coventry City 28.82%

Draw 28.13%

Cardiff City	Draw	Coventry City
1-0 @ 13.13% 2-0 @ 8.43% 2-1 @ 8.4% 3-0 @ 3.61% 3-1 @ 3.59% 3-2 @ 1.79% 4-0 @ 1.16% 4-1 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.78% Total : 43.03%	1-1 @ 13.08% 0-0 @ 10.23% 2-2 @ 4.18% Other @ 0.64% Total : 28.13%	0-1 @ 10.19% 1-2 @ 6.51% 0-2 @ 5.08% 1-3 @ 2.16% 0-3 @ 1.69% 2-3 @ 1.39% Other @ 1.81% Total : 28.82%