Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
