Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.37%. A win for Sutton United had a probability of 30.43% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Sutton United win was 0-1 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.
