SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cheltenham Town win with a probability of 39.28%. A win for Carlisle United had a probability of 35.47% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cheltenham Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (6.32%). The likeliest Carlisle United win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cheltenham Town in this match.
| Result | ||
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
35.47% ( 0.08) | 25.25% ( 0.02) | 39.28% ( -0.1) |
| Both teams to score 56.74% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.08% ( -0.09) | 46.92% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.83% ( -0.08) | 69.17% ( 0.08) |
| Carlisle United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.29% ( 0) | 25.71% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.37% ( 0.01) | 60.63% ( -0.01) |
| Cheltenham Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.37% ( -0.09) | 23.63% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.28% ( -0.13) | 57.72% ( 0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Carlisle United | Draw | Cheltenham Town |
| 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.09% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.61% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.66% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.64% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.24% ( 0)Other @ 3.44% Total : 35.47% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.02)2-2 @ 5.83% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0)Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.25% | 0-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)0-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.01)2-4 @ 1.01% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.04% Total : 39.28% |
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